Ukraine is on the brink. Help's coming too late, Russia’s starting new offensive
This may be one of the gloomiest newsletters here ever. Many of you know that I always try to keep a balance and remain objective and optimistic, but looking at the situation on the frontlines in Ukraine, the political situation on the international stage and legislative initiatives, the outlook does not seem optimistic at all.
TV tower in Kharkiv, blown up by Russian missile, April 22, 2024
The long-awaited U.S. assistance package for Ukraine has finally passed, after six months of negotiations, disinformation campaigns, and manipulations provided by Russia and Russia-affiliated assets and those who resists democracy as hard as they can. It does not solve the issue of Russia’s aggression, it had rather put out a fire. Ukraine sorely needed such an aid package a while ago. It is also a bittersweet news because there is no hope that there will be such support package in the nearest future (probably until the end of the presidential elections in the U.S., and only in case if Trump doesn’t win), which means that Ukraine will have to rely mostly on European allies, along with Japan, Korea, Australia and Canada.
Nonetheless, adoption of the U.S. assistance bill has raised the mood among the Ukrainian leadership and society. The strong show of support from the United States can also strengthen the resolve of those partners and allies of Ukraine that are investing in Ukraine's victory in the war. Ukraine needs permanent, predictable aid from partners, a stable supply of weapons, humanitarian and financial aid. The haphazard approach to providing aid to Ukraine makes the country too vulnerable to Russian hybrid attacks and hampers efforts to systematically counteract Russia and protect civilians across the country.
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